11 months ago
18
- Consistency could be boring, hence what I am going to tell you could sound boring to you. BJP and NDA will return to power with similar or better numbers.
- If you see elections as a running commentary, you will look more like a day trader, and the situation of day traders is well-recorded.
- Unless there is widespread anger or clamour for the rivals, I do not think a big change will be seen.
- People might be disappointed with the BJP's rule. But we have not heard of widespread anger against PM Modi.
- There is no clamour for the challengers to the BJP.
- BJP does not appear to be suffering any material damage in the west and north.
- If you see the Lok sabha results of the 2014 and 2019 elections, the poll pundits had predicted that BJP would not get more than 272 seats.
- This time, the predictions started on an optimistic note. The BJP has shifted the goal from 272 deals to 370 seats. They have smartly shifted the bar, hence most strategists are predicting a win for the BJP.
- It is a good thing that we have a strong Opposition. Whoever forms the government, the party will face a strong Opposition. The party that wins has to be careful that they cannot undermine public dissent.
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