Final round of polling predicts Conservative wipeout just hours before the polls open - with half of Tory Cabinet set to lose their seats

7 months ago 24
  •  Final circular of mega-polls suggests Labour is connected people for much than 200 seats
  •  YouGov canvass predicts Labour would triumph 431 seats, with Conservatives connected 102
  •  More than fractional the Cabinet is expected to suffer seats, including Jeremy Hunt

By Jason Groves Political Editor

Published: 19:53 EDT, 3 July 2024 | Updated: 19:56 EDT, 3 July 2024

The Conservatives are acceptable for an election wipeout that could spot fractional the Cabinet suffer their seats, polls predicted past night.

A last circular of mega-polls suggested that Labour is connected people to eclipse Tony Blair's 1997 landslide with a bulk of much than 200 seats – the biggest for immoderate enactment since 1832.

The Tories are forecast to beryllium reduced to hardly 100 seats, losing much than two-thirds of constituencies they won successful 2019.

But pollsters said that, with dozens of seats connected a knife-edge, they could inactive decorativeness up with a much viable last full if accepted supporters clasp their noses and backmost Rishi Sunak.

A monolithic YouGov canvass of astir 50,000 voters predicted Labour would triumph 431 seats, with the Conservatives connected conscionable 102 and the Lib Dems on 72. 

The Conservatives are acceptable for an predetermination wipeout that could spot fractional the Cabinet suffer their seats, polls predicted past night

Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt is predicted to suffer his spot astatine the wide election 

Commons person Penny Mordaunt is besides acceptable to beryllium a Tory casualty successful the wide election 

Britain's Defence Secretary Grant Shapps is predicted to suffer his spot successful a Labour landslide

Minister Without Portfolio successful the Cabinet Office Esther McVey is predicted to suffer her seat

Reform would prime up 15 per cent of the ballot – much than the Lib Dems' 12 per cent – but would beryllium rewarded with conscionable 3 seats.

The canvass is 1 of respective published yesterday. YouGov predicted a Labour bulk of 212 – bigger than the 179 achieved by Mr Blair successful 1997 which ushered successful 13 years of Labour rule. 

But it said 89 seats were 'toss-ups' and could yet spell the different way, cutting Labour's bulk to 132.

The pollster forecast that much than fractional the Cabinet volition suffer their seats today, including Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, Commons person Penny Mordaunt, Defence Secretary Grant Shapps and Cabinet Office curate Esther McVey. 

Conservative Party president Richard Holden, parachuted into the erstwhile harmless spot of Basildon and Billericay, is forecast to travel 3rd down Labour and Reform.

Labour's bulk is boosted by the interaction of Reform, which looks acceptable to devour heavy into the Conservative vote. 

Nigel Farage is predicted to triumph successful the Essex municipality of Clacton, yet becoming an MP astatine the eighth clip of asking.

The Tories are forecast to unafraid conscionable 22 per cent of the ballot – hardly fractional the 43.6 per cent won by Boris Johnson little than 5 years ago. 

Labour's estimated 39 per cent ballot stock is little than the 40 per cent achieved by Jeremy Corbyn successful 2017. Other polls painted a akin picture. 

A survey of 13,000 voters by the deliberation vessel More In Common forecast 430 Labour seats, the Tories connected 126, Lib Dems connected 52 and Reform winning 2 seats.

However, the exemplary recovered 113 seats wherever the parties are little than 5 points isolated - and suggested the Conservative full could scope 177 if erstwhile supporters spooked by the thought of a Labour supermajority crook out.

A last circular of mega-polls suggested that Labour is connected people to eclipse Tony Blair 's 1997 landslide with a bulk of much than 200 seats – the biggest for immoderate enactment since 1832

Executive manager Luke Tryl said the canvass suggested the Tories were heading for 'the worst effect successful their history', but added: 'With implicit a 100 seats inactive successful the balance, the size of Labour's ­victory, the grade to which the Conservatives are capable to signifier a viable absorption – arsenic good arsenic the situation they look from the Liberal Democrats, on with however galore Green and Reform UK MPs articulation the House of Commons – volition each beryllium determined by wherever those inactive undecided voters formed their ballot.'

Article From: www.dailymail.co.uk
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