NEW YORK (PIX11) – A majority of voters in New York’s 3rd Congressional District disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as president, according to a new PIX11/Emerson College Polling survey released Thursday ahead of a special election to fill the congressional seat vacated by George Santos.
The poll found that 59% of voters in NY-3 are unhappy with the Biden administration. New York Gov. Kathy Hochul faired even worse, with 66% of voters disapproving of her work, according to the poll.
Only one-third of voters (33%) in NY-3 approve of Biden, while just a quarter of voters in the district (25%) approve of Hochul, according to the poll. The poll found that 8% of voters in NY-3 were neutral toward the job Biden is doing, while 10% were neutral toward Hochul.
Among the NY-3 voters polled, 51% said they voted for Biden in the 2020 presidential election, while 43% voted for former President Donald Trump.
Trump is the front-runner to win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination after his commanding victory in the Iowa caucuses on Monday. Trump lost his reelection to Biden in the 2020 presidential election, but a new poll showed Trump leading Biden in a hypothetical rematch in the general election in November, Nexstar affiliate The Hill reported.
New York’s 3rd Congressional District includes parts of Long Island and a small section of Queens. A special election will be held in February to replace Santos, who was expelled from Congress in December after a House ethics report found evidence of lawbreaking.
Democratic candidate Tom Suozzi and Republican Mazi Pilip will face off in the NY-3 special election on Feb. 13.
The PIX11/Emerson College Polling survey revealed a tight contest between Suozzi and Pilip. The poll found that 45% of voters in NY-3 support Suozzi, while 42% support Pilip. Nine percent of voters polled were undecided.
“There is a significant difference between voters who say they are ‘very likely’ to vote on Feb. 13, and those who are ‘somewhat likely’ or ‘not too likely’ to vote,” said Spencer Kimball, the executive director of Emerson College Polling. “Suozzi leads 51% to 37% among ‘very likely’ voters, whereas Pilip leads among these ‘somewhat likely’ or ‘not too likely’ voters 66% to 22%. Notably, the ‘very likely’ voter makes up 84% of the electorate.”
Suozzi previously represented NY-3 in Congress for six years from 2017-2023, but he gave up his seat to run for New York governor, losing to Hochul in the Democratic primary.
Pilip is a Nassau County legislator who represents Great Neck, Manhasset and Herricks. She was born in Ethiopia, lived in Israel, and served in the Israel Defense Forces.
She was elected to her seat in 2021.
PIX11 News will host a special one-hour forum featuring NY-3 candidates Suozzi and Pilip on Tuesday, Jan. 30, from 7 to 8 p.m. You can tune in to PIX11 News or stream the forum on PIX11.com and PIX11+, which is available on Roku, Amazon Fire TV, Apple TV, and Samsung.
The Emerson College Polling/Pix11 New York Third District poll was conducted Jan. 13-15, 2024. The sample consisted of 975 registered voters, with a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error, of +/- 3.1 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, party, race, and education based on US Census parameters, and New York voter registration and voter turnout data by regions (NY SOS). Data was collected by contacting a list of cellphones via MMS-to-web, landlines via Interactive Voice Response (IVR) and emails provided by Aristotle, along with an online panel of voters provided by Alchemer.
Finn Hoogensen is a digital journalist who has covered local news for more than five years. He has been with PIX11 since 2022. See more of his work here.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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